What are Melissa Bean's chances of winning the 2026 IL-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Melissa Bean a 94% chance (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 94%).

How much money has Melissa Bean raised?

Melissa Bean's campaign has raised $2.1M and has $145K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · IL

Melissa Bean

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Melissa Bean (Democrat) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 IL-08 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 94%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IL-08 House race	94%	93%	94%	▼ 3¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.1M
Spent: $1.9M
Cash on hand: $145K
Outside groups for: $6.6M
Outside groups against: $58K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $276K from PACs, $323K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Melissa Luburich Bean →

Running against

Jennifer Davis6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.