Republican · NY
Melvin Rivera
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Melvin Rivera (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 NY-07 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 1%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-07 House race | 2% | 3% | 1% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.