What are Michael Alfonso's chances of winning the 2026 WI-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Alfonso a 94% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

How much money has Michael Alfonso raised?

Michael Alfonso's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $663K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WI

Michael Alfonso

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Alfonso (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 WI-07 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WI-07 House race	94%	94%	94%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.4M
Spent: $688K
Cash on hand: $663K
Outside groups for: $3.3M
Outside groups against: $199K

Through July 22, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $211K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Alfonso →

Running against

Fred Clark6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.