Republican · TX
Michael Cloud
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Cloud (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 TX-27 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 94%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-27 House race | 94% | 93% | 94% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.1M
- Spent
- $928K
- Cash on hand
- $271K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $819K from individuals, $208K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Cloud →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
