What are Michael Rulli's chances of winning the 2026 OH-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Rulli a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Michael Rulli raised?

Michael Rulli's campaign has raised $1.1M and has $270K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · OH

Michael Rulli

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Rulli (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 OH-06 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 OH-06 House race	95%	95%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.1M
Spent: $913K
Cash on hand: $270K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $254K from individuals, $705K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Rulli →

Running against

Elizabeth Kirtley5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.