Republican · NC
Michael Whatley
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Whatley (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 North Carolina Senate race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 North Carolina Senate race | 4% | 5% | 3% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $11.3M
- Spent
- $7.8M
- Cash on hand
- $3.5M
- Outside groups for
- $5.5M
- Outside groups against
- $23.2M
Through June 30, 2026. $5.5M from individuals, $874K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Whatley →
Polls
In the 2026 North Carolina Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Michael Whatley at 41% against Roy Cooper at 51%, from 12 polls (newest ended 2026-09-29).
Social buzz
311K interactions with posts about Michael Whatley in the last 24 hours from 233 people; 69% of posts read as positive, up 24% on last week.
- Former North Carolina governor Roy Cooper is running in a state that for decades has more often preferred Republicans for federal office. Polls have consistently shown him leading his opponent, Republican Michael Whatley The Washington Post · tweet
- 2026 GOP Senate recruits (+some incumbents) tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Susan Collins A Tier: John Sununu B Tier: Ashley Hinson, Ashley Moody C Tier: Mike Rogers, Jon Husted D Tier: Michael Whatley, Roger Marsha David · tweet
- I believe Whatley is going to surprise a lot of people, including Roy Cooper. AppPatriotgirl 🇺🇸 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Roy Cooper96%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
