What are Michelle Fischbach's chances of winning the 2026 MN-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michelle Fischbach a 95% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Michelle Fischbach raised?

Michelle Fischbach's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $920K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MN

Michelle Fischbach

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michelle Fischbach (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 MN-07 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MN-07 House race	95%	94%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $777K
Cash on hand: $920K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $470K from individuals, $730K from PACs. FEC filings for Michelle Fischbach →

Running against

Erik Osberg5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.