What are Mike Ezell's chances of winning the 2026 MS-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Ezell a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Mike Ezell raised?

Mike Ezell's campaign has raised $990K and has $123K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MS

Mike Ezell

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Ezell (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 MS-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MS-04 House race	97%	97%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $990K
Spent: $1.0M
Cash on hand: $123K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $464K from individuals, $477K from PACs. FEC filings for Walter Michael Ezell →

Running against

Jeffrey Hulum III3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.