What are Mike LiPetri's chances of winning the 2026 NY-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike LiPetri a 13% chance (Kalshi 13%, Polymarket 13%).

How much money has Mike LiPetri raised?

Mike LiPetri's campaign has raised $1.7M and has $723K cash on hand, through September 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NY

Mike LiPetri

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike LiPetri (Republican) a 13% chance of winning the 2026 NY-03 House race (Kalshi 13%, Polymarket 13%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-03 House race	13%	13%	13%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.7M
Spent: $960K
Cash on hand: $723K
Outside groups for: $1.7M
Outside groups against: $338K

Through September 30, 2026. $461K from individuals, $201K from PACs. FEC filings for Mike Lipetri →

Running against

Tom Suozzi88%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.