Republican · AL

Mike Rogers

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Rogers (Republican) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 AL-03 House race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 100%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 AL-03 House race99%99%100%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$2.1M
Spent
$1.5M
Cash on hand
$2.6M
Outside groups for
$0
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $722K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Rogers →

Social buzz

611K interactions with posts about Mike Rogers in the last 24 hours from 146 people; 59% of posts read as positive, down 59% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works