Republican · IL
Niki Conforti
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Niki Conforti (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 IL-06 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 IL-06 House race | 3% | 3% | 2% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $313K
- Spent
- $296K
- Cash on hand
- $23K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $308K from individuals, $5K from PACs. FEC filings for Niki Conforti →
Running against
- Sean Casten97%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.