What are Norma Torres's chances of winning the 2026 CA-35 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Norma Torres a 99% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 100%).

How much money has Norma Torres raised?

Norma Torres's campaign has raised $769K and has $339K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

Norma Torres

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Norma Torres (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 CA-35 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 100%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-35 House race	99%	98%	100%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $769K
Spent: $733K
Cash on hand: $339K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $268K from individuals, $499K from PACs. FEC filings for Norma Torres →

Running against

Mike Cargile1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.