What are Patrick Halpin's chances of winning the 2026 NY-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Patrick Halpin a 14% chance (Kalshi 15%, Polymarket 13%).

How much money has Patrick Halpin raised?

Patrick Halpin's campaign has raised $462K and has $89K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NY

Patrick Halpin

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Patrick Halpin (Democrat) a 14% chance of winning the 2026 NY-02 House race (Kalshi 15%, Polymarket 13%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-02 House race	14%	15%	13%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $462K
Spent: $372K
Cash on hand: $89K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $445K from individuals, $10K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Patrick Halpin →

Running against

Andrew Garbarino86%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.