What are Rachel Wallace's chances of winning the 2026 PA-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rachel Wallace a 3% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Rachel Wallace raised?

Rachel Wallace's campaign has raised $698K and has $387K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · PA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rachel Wallace (Democrat) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 PA-09 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-09 House race	3%	2%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $655K from individuals, $40K from PACs. FEC filings for Rachel Wallace →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.