What are Richard Ojeda's chances of winning the 2026 NC-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Richard Ojeda a 22% chance (Kalshi 21%, Polymarket 22%).

How much money has Richard Ojeda raised?

Richard Ojeda's campaign has raised $2.2M and has $164K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NC

Richard Ojeda

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Richard Ojeda (Democrat) a 22% chance of winning the 2026 NC-09 House race (Kalshi 21%, Polymarket 22%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-09 House race	22%	21%	22%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.2M
Spent: $2.1M
Cash on hand: $164K
Outside groups for: $1K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $2.2M from individuals, $19K from PACs. FEC filings for Richard N. Ojeda →

Polls

In the 2026 NC-09 House race, the Parlay polling average has Richard Ojeda at 42% against Richard Hudson at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-03).

Social buzz

15K interactions with posts about Richard Ojeda in the last 24 hours from 15 people; 76% of posts read as positive, down 58% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Richard Hudson78%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.