What are Rick Crawford's chances of winning the 2026 AR-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rick Crawford a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Rick Crawford raised?

Rick Crawford's campaign has raised $944K and has $1.0M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AR

Rick Crawford

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rick Crawford (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 AR-01 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AR-01 House race	98%	98%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $944K
Spent: $743K
Cash on hand: $1.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $340K from individuals, $558K from PACs. FEC filings for Eric Alan Rick Crawford →

Running against

Terri Yarbrough Green2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.