What are Rick Larsen's chances of winning the 2026 WA-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rick Larsen a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Rick Larsen raised?

Rick Larsen's campaign has raised $2.0M and has $652K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · WA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rick Larsen (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 WA-02 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WA-02 House race	97%	97%	97%	▲ 4¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $839K from individuals, $1.2M from PACs. FEC filings for Rick Larsen →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.