What are Riley Moore's chances of winning the 2026 WV-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Riley Moore a 96% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Riley Moore raised?

Riley Moore's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $751K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WV

Riley Moore

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Riley Moore (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 WV-02 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WV-02 House race	96%	94%	97%	▲ 4¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $697K
Cash on hand: $751K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $463K from individuals, $522K from PACs. FEC filings for Riley Moore →

Running against

Ace Parsi4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.