What are Roger Williams's chances of winning the 2026 TX-25 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Roger Williams a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Roger Williams raised?

Roger Williams's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $1.1M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

Roger Williams

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Roger Williams (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 TX-25 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-25 House race	96%	96%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.4M
Spent: $919K
Cash on hand: $1.1M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $70K from individuals, $455K from PACs. FEC filings for Roger Williams →

Running against

Dione Sims4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.