What are Rudy Recile's chances of winning the 2026 CA-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rudy Recile a 3% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Rudy Recile raised?

Rudy Recile's campaign has raised $20K and has $235 cash on hand, through September 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rudy Recile (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 CA-08 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 4%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-08 House race	3%	2%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through September 30, 2026. $11K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $9K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Rudy Recile →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.