What are Russ Fulcher's chances of winning the 2026 ID-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Russ Fulcher a 96% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Russ Fulcher raised?

Russ Fulcher's campaign has raised $663K and has $245K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · ID

Russ Fulcher

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Russ Fulcher (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 ID-01 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 ID-01 House race	96%	95%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $663K
Spent: $598K
Cash on hand: $245K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $354K from individuals, $301K from PACs. FEC filings for Russell Fulcher →

Polls

In the 2026 ID-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Russ Fulcher at 47% against Kaylee Peterson at 31%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-07-30).

Running against

Kaylee Peterson4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.