What are Ryan Mackenzie's chances of winning the 2026 PA-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ryan Mackenzie a 14% chance (Kalshi 15%, Polymarket 14%).

How much money has Ryan Mackenzie raised?

Ryan Mackenzie's campaign has raised $4.4M and has $2.9M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · PA

Ryan Mackenzie

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ryan Mackenzie (Republican) a 14% chance of winning the 2026 PA-07 House race (Kalshi 15%, Polymarket 14%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-07 House race	14%	15%	14%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $4.4M
Spent: $1.5M
Cash on hand: $2.9M
Outside groups for: $337K
Outside groups against: $1.0M

Through June 30, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $1.0M from PACs. FEC filings for Ryan Edward Mackenzie →

Polls

In the 2026 PA-07 House race, the Parlay polling average has Ryan Mackenzie at 40% against Bob Brooks at 45%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-20).

Running against

Bob Brooks86%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.