What are Sara Jacobs's chances of winning the 2026 CA-51 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sara Jacobs a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Sara Jacobs raised?

Sara Jacobs's campaign has raised $1.6M and has $269K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sara Jacobs (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 CA-51 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-51 House race	97%	97%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $415K from individuals, $207K from PACs, $929K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Sara Jacobs →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.