Republican · TN
Scott DesJarlais
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Scott DesJarlais (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 TN-04 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TN-04 House race | 98% | 98% | 99% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $537K
- Spent
- $408K
- Cash on hand
- $495K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 17, 2026. $229K from individuals, $307K from PACs. FEC filings for Scott Desjarlais →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
