What are Seth Harp's chances of winning the 2026 FL-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Seth Harp a 6% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Seth Harp raised?

Seth Harp's campaign has raised $38K and has $3K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · FL

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Seth Harp (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 FL-03 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 6%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-03 House race	6%	6%	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 29, 2026. $36K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $1K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Seth Allan Harp →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.