What are Shane Lewis's chances of winning the 2026 CA-18 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shane Lewis a 2% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Shane Lewis raised?

Shane Lewis's campaign has raised $107K and has $3K cash on hand, through September 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shane Lewis (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 CA-18 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-18 House race	2%	2%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through September 30, 2026. $42K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $60K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Shane Lewis →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.