What are Spencer Meline's chances of winning the 2026 WA-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Spencer Meline a 1% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 0%).

How much money has Spencer Meline raised?

Spencer Meline's campaign has raised $127K and has $90K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WA

Spencer Meline

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Spencer Meline (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 WA-08 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 0%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WA-08 House race	1%	2%	0%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $127K
Spent: $37K
Cash on hand: $90K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $42K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $85K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Spencer Harrison Meline →

Running against

Kim Schrier99%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.