Democrat · MA
Stephen Lynch
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Stephen Lynch (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 MA-08 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MA-08 House race | 98% | 98% | 99% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $910K
- Spent
- $1.4M
- Cash on hand
- $642K
- Outside groups for
- $78K
- Outside groups against
- $214K
Through August 12, 2026. $556K from individuals, $339K from PACs. FEC filings for Stephen Lynch →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
