What are Suhas Subramanyam's chances of winning the 2026 VA-10 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Suhas Subramanyam a 96% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Suhas Subramanyam raised?

Suhas Subramanyam's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $583K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · VA

Suhas Subramanyam

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Suhas Subramanyam (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 VA-10 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-10 House race	96%	97%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.2M
Spent: $678K
Cash on hand: $583K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $785K from individuals, $321K from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Suhas Subramanyam →

Running against

Dave Beckwith4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.