What are Sylvia Garcia's chances of winning the 2026 TX-29 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sylvia Garcia a 99% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Sylvia Garcia raised?

Sylvia Garcia's campaign has raised $987K and has $201K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

Sylvia Garcia

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sylvia Garcia (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 TX-29 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-29 House race	99%	98%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $987K
Spent: $1.2M
Cash on hand: $201K
Outside groups for: $527K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $335K from individuals, $651K from PACs. FEC filings for Sylvia R Garcia →

Running against

Martha Fierro1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.