What are Thurman Bartie's chances of winning the 2026 TX-14 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Thurman Bartie a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Thurman Bartie raised?

Thurman Bartie's campaign has raised $27K and has $-1092 cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Thurman Bartie (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 TX-14 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-14 House race	4%	4%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $26K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Thurman Bill Bartie →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.