Democrat · NY
Tim Kennedy
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tim Kennedy (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 NY-26 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-26 House race | 97% | 97% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.3M
- Spent
- $1.4M
- Cash on hand
- $1.2M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $1.7M from individuals, $576K from PACs. FEC filings for Timothy Kennedy →
Recent headlines
- Sen. Kennedy, 74, floats 2028 prez bid if ‘a bunch of goobers run’ — as he goes after Trump New York Post · Oct 4
- ‘Don’t Know’ Him: John Kennedy Does Not Say Yes When Asked If Ken Paxton ‘Has Character To Serve’ In Senate Daily Caller · Oct 4
- John Kennedy teases 2028 presidential run if ‘a bunch of goobers’ enter race Washington Examiner · Oct 4
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
