What are Tim Moore's chances of winning the 2026 NC-14 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tim Moore a 88% chance (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 87%).

How much money has Tim Moore raised?

Tim Moore's campaign has raised $1.5M and has $1.6M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NC

Tim Moore

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tim Moore (Republican) a 88% chance of winning the 2026 NC-14 House race (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 87%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-14 House race	88%	90%	87%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.5M
Spent: $881K
Cash on hand: $1.6M
Outside groups for: $81K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $436K from PACs. FEC filings for Tim Moore →

Polls

In the 2026 NC-14 House race, the Parlay polling average has Tim Moore at 48% against Lakesha Womack at 40%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-03-12).

Running against

LaKesha Womack12%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.