What are Tom Cole's chances of winning the 2026 OK-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Cole a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Tom Cole raised?

Tom Cole's campaign has raised $3.8M and has $2.6M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · OK

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Cole (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 OK-04 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 OK-04 House race	98%	98%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $2.1M from individuals, $1.6M from PACs. FEC filings for Tom Cole →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.