What are Tom Sell's chances of winning the 2026 TX-19 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Sell a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Tom Sell raised?

Tom Sell's campaign has raised $2.1M and has $385K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Sell (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 TX-19 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-19 House race	98%	98%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $1.6M from individuals, $524K from PACs. FEC filings for Tom Sell →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.