What are Tony Guy's chances of winning the 2026 PA-17 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tony Guy a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Tony Guy raised?

Tony Guy's campaign has raised $118K and has $36K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · PA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tony Guy (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 PA-17 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 4%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-17 House race	3%	3%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $112K from individuals, $5K from PACs. FEC filings for Tony Guy →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.