What are Trent Kelly's chances of winning the 2026 MS-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Trent Kelly a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Trent Kelly raised?

Trent Kelly's campaign has raised $1.0M and has $864K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MS

Trent Kelly

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Trent Kelly (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 MS-01 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MS-01 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.0M
Spent: $749K
Cash on hand: $864K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $504K from individuals, $501K from PACs. FEC filings for John Trent Kelly →

Running against

Cliff Johnson4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.