What are Trever Nehls's chances of winning the 2026 TX-22 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Trever Nehls a 92% chance (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 92%).

How much money has Trever Nehls raised?

Trever Nehls's campaign has raised $430K and has $152K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

Trever Nehls

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Trever Nehls (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 TX-22 House race (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 92%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-22 House race	92%	91%	92%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $430K
Spent: $567K
Cash on hand: $152K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $159K from individuals, $212K from PACs. FEC filings for Troy Nehls →

Running against

Marquette Greene-Scott8%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.