What are Troy Balderson's chances of winning the 2026 OH-12 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Troy Balderson a 94% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

How much money has Troy Balderson raised?

Troy Balderson's campaign has raised $1.7M and has $2.0M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · OH

Troy Balderson

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Troy Balderson (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 OH-12 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 OH-12 House race	94%	94%	94%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.7M
Spent: $767K
Cash on hand: $2.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $628K from individuals, $1.0M from PACs. FEC filings for William Troy Balderson →

Running against

Jerrad Christian6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.