Democrat · TX

Vicente Gonzalez

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Vicente Gonzalez (Democrat) a 83% chance of winning the 2026 TX-34 House race (Kalshi 84%, Polymarket 83%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 TX-34 House race83%84%83%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$3.8M
Spent
$1.5M
Cash on hand
$2.5M
Outside groups for
$1.1M
Outside groups against
$1.4M

Through June 30, 2026. $1.9M from individuals, $1.3M from PACs. FEC filings for Vicente Gonzalez →

Polls

In the 2026 TX-34 House race, the Parlay polling average has Vicente Gonzalez at 45% against Eric Flores at 42%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-08-22).

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works