Democrat · AZ
Yassamin Ansari
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Yassamin Ansari (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-03 House race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 100%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AZ-03 House race | 99% | 99% | 100% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.4M
- Spent
- $899K
- Cash on hand
- $547K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 1, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $226K from PACs, $66K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Yassamin Ansari →
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
