What are Yvette Clarke's chances of winning the 2026 NY-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Yvette Clarke a 98% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Yvette Clarke raised?

Yvette Clarke's campaign has raised $1.0M and has $31K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NY

Yvette Clarke

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Yvette Clarke (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 NY-09 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-09 House race	98%	97%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.0M
Spent: $1.1M
Cash on hand: $31K
Outside groups for: $290K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $427K from individuals, $582K from PACs. FEC filings for Yvette D Clarke →

Running against

Joel Anabilah-Azumah2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.