Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, August 27, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 86% to win the House; the biggest move was TX-17 (Texas), where Democratic odds went from 7% to 2%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX-17 (Texas) | D 7% | D 2% | ▼ 4.5 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 57% | D 61% | ▲ 4.3 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 88% | D 92% | ▲ 3.7 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 63% | D 61% | ▼ 2.6 |
| FL-27 (Florida) | D 18% | D 16% | ▼ 2.4 |
| PA-10 (Pennsylvania) | D 76% | D 79% | ▲ 2.3 |
| FL-09 (Florida) | D 34% | D 36% | ▲ 2.3 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 23% | D 25% | ▲ 2.1 |
| New Hampshire Senate | D 87% | D 85% | ▼ 2.1 |
| FL-15 (Florida) | D 8% | D 10% | ▲ 2.0 |
