Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, August 28, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-14 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 72% to 67%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-14 (Florida) | D 72% | D 67% | ▼ 4.9 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 61% | D 65% | ▲ 3.8 |
| TX-38 (Texas) | D 10% | D 7% | ▼ 3.4 |
| FL-25 (Florida) | D 68% | D 71% | ▲ 3.0 |
| Alabama Governor | D 6% | D 9% | ▲ 2.7 |
| PA-13 (Pennsylvania) | D 4% | D 1% | ▼ 2.6 |
| MT-01 (Montana) | D 40% | D 42% | ▲ 2.4 |
| TN-05 (Tennessee) | D 10% | D 12% | ▲ 2.3 |
| TX-21 (Texas) | D 10% | D 8% | ▼ 2.3 |
| TX-15 (Texas) | D 55% | D 57% | ▲ 2.3 |
