Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, August 29, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House; the biggest move was PA-07 (Pennsylvania), where Democratic odds went from 74% to 79%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 74% | D 79% | ▲ 4.6 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 62% | D 67% | ▲ 4.3 |
| MT-01 (Montana) | D 42% | D 45% | ▲ 3.1 |
| Alaska Governor | D 46% | D 49% | ▲ 2.7 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 65% | D 67% | ▲ 2.4 |
| FL-14 (Florida) | D 67% | D 65% | ▼ 2.3 |
| WI-06 (Wisconsin) | D 9% | D 6% | ▼ 2.3 |
| NJ-05 (New Jersey) | D 91% | D 93% | ▲ 2.1 |
| FL-09 (Florida) | D 37% | D 35% | ▼ 2.0 |
| TX-15 (Texas) | D 57% | D 55% | ▼ 2.0 |
