Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, August 30, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House; the biggest move was TN-09 (Tennessee), where Democratic odds went from 15% to 7%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TN-09 (Tennessee) | D 15% | D 7% | ▼ 7.1 |
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 79% | D 83% | ▲ 4.2 |
| TX-38 (Texas) | D 7% | D 3% | ▼ 3.9 |
| NJ-05 (New Jersey) | D 93% | D 96% | ▲ 2.7 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 68% | D 70% | ▲ 2.4 |
| KS-03 (Kansas) | D 92% | D 94% | ▲ 2.4 |
| CA-11 (California) | D 97% | D 99% | ▲ 2.3 |
| MD-01 (Maryland) | D 12% | D 10% | ▼ 2.2 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 67% | D 65% | ▼ 2.1 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 92% | D 89% | ▼ 2.0 |
