Kalshi
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Apr 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2029 at 82%, ahead of Before Jul 1, 2028 at 78%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $211K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2029 82%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $211K
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Before Jan 1, 202982%▲ 4
- Before Jul 1, 202878%
- Before Oct 1, 202774%
- Before Jan 1, 202866%
- Before Jul 1, 202748%▼ 24
- Before Apr 1, 202739%▼ 32
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:01 AM10:01 PM10:01 AM82% Before Jan 1, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2029. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
