Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

In 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jul 1, 2027 at 27%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2027 at 10%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $394K in all.

Favorite: Before Jul 1, 2027 27%
24 hours: down 8 pts
Traded today: $1K
Traded in all: $394K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

Before Jul 1, 202727%▼ 8
Before Jan 1, 202710%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:47 AM2:47 PM2:47 AM27% Before Jul 1, 2027

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jul 1, 2027. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.