Republican · FL
Aaron Bean
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Aaron Bean (Republican) a 86% chance of winning the 2026 FL-04 House race (Kalshi 85%, Polymarket 86%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 FL-04 House race | 86% | 85% | 86% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.2M
- Spent
- $1.0M
- Cash on hand
- $1.6M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 29, 2026. $908K from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Aaron P. Bean →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
