Democrat · WA
Adam Smith
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Adam Smith (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 WA-09 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 WA-09 House race | 97% | 97% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.9M
- Spent
- $1.6M
- Cash on hand
- $870K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $1.3M from individuals, $563K from PACs. FEC filings for D. Adam Smith →
Recent headlines
- Scary That Democrats Still Support Jack Smith Operation RealClearPolitics · Oct 4
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
